As America surrounds China in the South China Sea via diplomatic and intelligence push for neighboring states, China aims westward expansion through its Belt Road Initiative (BRI). The problem now faced by China, is the instability that has surpassed the borders of Gaza into Iran, Afghanistan, and soon Pakistan. This hindered the expansion plans to change the original unipolar world that the leviathan of the West was managing. After the gruesome assassination of Haniyeh, the Hamas Leader, Iran, and Lebanon’s’ promise for retaliation is now triggering an all-out war, and possibly the end of times. Thus, begins the movement towards a new world order.
When China responded to the murder of Hamas leader Ismael Haniyeh to be a purposeful attempt to destabilize the region, an indirect message was being delivered to the American bureaucracy, “we know what you did”. Global politics is a petty notion, one that involves the tinkering of emotions, playing with nationalism, and bullying of nations through tactics of global boycott, the typical Western play suffered by Iran and North Korea, and at times Pakistan too.
The global order has shifted but with foolish aims. America will no longer hold its hegemonic status in the East, it has lost too much too quickly, but its private influence may keep it somewhat relevant for a decade or so. China will prove to be the ultimate regional hegemon, this is if it figures out how to push the Eastern ideology. The gaps in the East lay with the smaller states surrounding China (Vietnam, Philippines, Indonesia, and most importantly Taiwan), and in the South with India. These nations follow the American plan and continue to support one another in economics and marketing their homelands for an increase in tourist income. The play suffers a greater danger when India joined the Israelis’ ambition, a favor they wish to be repaid in legitimizing the Kashmir occupation. The Middle East, too, has Jordan, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates (Trump’s achievements in allowing Israeli dominance to curtail Iranian ambitions).
Thus the play overall is as such: India has targets to rule the region, the perfect counterweight to China in partnership with America and Israel. The Middle East does not want the Iranian threat to overcome them, but this threat has been reduced with the Saudi and Iranian truce talks, handled and executed by China. Furthermore, the Western bloc has promised undivided support for the genocide against Palestinians, indirectly indicating the cultural war as predicted by Huntington in 1992. Thus, China’s targets are to overcome the divide among the nations of the East, offer a deal to the South East Asians that keeps the Americans at bay, and push Pakistan to a point where they can at least cause Pakistan to pose even an iotas worth of threat to Indian ambition.
The world order has changed, and will change further, as Turkey pushes for middle-power ambition in Eurasia – aiming to cut a diplomatic deal between Russia and Ukraine, Russia has been turned into the new European evil, whilst Netanyahu is considered a hero. The conundrums and rollercoasters of diplomatic wins and failures are never-ending. But, certain realities are concrete: The Arabs, if disunited against the Israeli threat, will face a loss in culture, and personal growth in the next five decades. Iran will be sidelined unless it joins Afghanistan and Pakistan in honest cooperation. Afghanistan has to limit its Islamic beliefs on its citizens and invite back expat Afghans to grow as a true middle-power in Asia. China must co-operate with Japan, otherwise, both nations will sink in the coming years to European ideals and their market will collapse due to population fluctuation over the coming years. India needs to change its position and look for regional support in greater spheres with its neighbors, or it will too suffer the fate China suffers today.
The global game is in essence complete, World War III has commenced. The United Nations has failed, and war is inevitable. All casualties of all regions in current conflicts, will most definitely pose non-state actor-like threats in the coming years, and with black market availabilities in the East, most probably this will be the most devastating act of vengeance in the coming years. The domino effect has begun, and new borders and plays are in place. The best outcome for now, is to avoid the coming biological attack in three years, and the nuclear threat posed between all states. Although this is all merely hypothetical, and wonders tend to sprout, the world has reached another level of failure, one of too much destruction and acceptance of the deaths of innocent women and children.
Michael Denning – Political Analyst @TheAsadgarhChronicle
